Pre Market Commentary ...

The hungry bulls will look at lapping up whatever comes their way. Value and rationale could take a backseat. The scary rollercoaster ride of the previous few sessions will take a break, as risk aversion has subsided somewhat after China dismissed a report saying it was mulling paring its holding of European bonds. This helped spark a world-wide rally in equities and commodities. The euro too rebounded while gold dipped and the VIX – Wall Street’s fear gauge – dropped below 30 after surging past 44 not too long ago.

After long, we have a bright morning to start with as we stare at a gap-up opening and hopefully another day of solid gains. Asian markets are upbeat following the overnight bounce in the US as well as European markets. Still, it would be foolhardy to take the recent pull-back in stocks as a decisive turnaround and start buying aggressively. The problems in Europe and other advanced economies have not vanished. So, one expects the volatility to persist for some time to come owing to uncertainty about the global picture.

What we are witnessing lately is more of a relief rally from the lows hit in the current intermediate downtrend. This advance has to sustain for a while to restore investor confidence. Also, FIIs - who have been net sellers for quite some time - have to resume their buying spree. Even prior to the current falls, the Indian market had struggled to break out of a range. We have to see whether this time is different and the key indices will head higher after dust settles on the euro-zone debt crisis.