Saturday, March 7, 2009

Friday, March 6, 2009

सेन्सेक्स (8325.82) 127.90 अंक चढ्कर, नीफ़्टी (2620.15) 43.45 अंक चढ्कर, बंद..

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European markets update: FTSE Index flat, DAX Index up 0.4% and CAC Index up 0.2%

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Long 2500 March Nifty Put @ Rs61 or less with SL of Rs50 for target of Rs85

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High risk traders buy & hold Reliance Capital between Rs307-310 with SL of Rs299 for target of Rs322, 325

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HIgh risk traders buy & hold Reliance Infra between Rs441-444 with SL of Rs428 for target of Rs465, 470

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High risk traders buy & hold Axis Bank between Rs302-304 with SL of Rs297 for target of Rs313, 316

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HDFC BANK FO CLOSED at RS. 794.90

POSITIVE TREND if trade aboveRs. 788

With SL Rs 781 for the target of Rs.806 to 815 levels

Nifty levels as per charts ..

The outlook continues to remain grim for the coming days. Consumers and banks continue to be risk averse. It is the crisis of confidence which is plaguing the markets, not only in India but across the world. Unless there is a reversal in this trend, we are unlikely to see a sustained advance in stocks.


Intraday below 2537 level,

It will be in Bearish trend. Selling is suggested

with SL of 2564 level

for the target of 2517 to 2490 levels;


Regarding POSITIVE TREND,

Buying is suggested at level of 2564

with SL of 2537,

Target at 2588 to 2597 levels.....!!!

Reliance Industries

Shares of Reliance Industries dropped by over 5% to Rs1149 after the company reported a 12.1% dip in production to 2.8mn tons. The company also started another 580,000 barrels per day refinery adjacent to its existing 660,000 barrels per day unit on Dec. 25, 08.
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Pri Market Commentary ...

Today, we expect another weak opening. While the US shares crashed overnight and Asian markets are mixed, with only the Nikkei down significantly. Depending on global cues some recovery could set in later. Seven-year low inflation rate of 3.03% for the week ended Feb 21 seems to be a non-event.

Life is getting tougher for corporates and consumers alike. And, though governments and central banks are doing their best to reverse the slide, the markets are not particularly enthused. Chances are that things may get even worse before there is any meaningful recovery. Brace up for a long period of pain in terms of economic contraction, sagging consumption and dwindling investments.

We are in the midst of a perfect storm and there aren’t many places to hide. The global recession is getting worse by the day. FIIs continue to dump Indian shares and a weak rupee too is a cause for concern as is the precarious government finances. Some say the flight of safety is taking its toll on our market. But where is the safety we wonder!

If you are a long-term investor, stepping in at this point could be a good move. One should buy on the way down, rather than on the way back up. And, it is near-impossible to know exactly when the bottom is going to be hit. If you have the stomach and the money, then investing at these levels and holding out through the period of bounce back will translate into decent gains.

ONGC

Shares of ONGC slid by 2% to Rs651 after Goldman Sachs reiterated a Sell on the public sector oil & gas major, citing five major concerns, including corporate governance issue with cash withdrawals by promoter (Government of India).
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Positive & Nagative Breakouts

Positive Breakouts

Mphasis
Ashok Leyland
National Alumin
Tata Tele
Cairn India
Negative Breakouts

Indian Hotels
DLF
Tech Mahindra
Union Bank India
ACC
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FIIs were net sellers in the cash segment on Thursday at Rs5.9bn

FIIs were net sellers in the cash segment on Thursday at Rs5.9bn, while the local institutions pumped in Rs4.79bn. In the F&O segment, the foreign funds were net sellers at Rs2.93bn. On Wednesday, FIIs were net sellers in the cash segment at Rs4.5bn. Mutual Funds were net sellers of Rs2.13bn on the same day.

Pre Market Ideas !!

Sell SBI
Sell Icici Bank
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Pre Market Intraday Ideas !!

Sell Reliance
Sell Axis Bank
Buy JP Associates
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NIFTY (2576) SUP 2524 RES 2615

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Thursday, March 5, 2009

सेन्सेक्स (8197.92) -248.57 अंक गीरकर, नीफ़्टी (2576.70) -68.50 अंक गिरकर, बंद..

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European markets update: FTSE Index down 1.1%, DAX Index down 1% and CAC Index down 1.2%

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India Inflation for the week ended Feb 21 was at 3.03%, against expectation of 3.07%

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Sell Titan March Futs at Rs697-694 with SL of Rs712 for target of Rs665,662

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Our target completed in ONGC Futs. Traders remain short for a revised target of Rs630 with SL of Rs645

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High risk traders short ONGC March Futs between Rs658-655 with SL of Rs665 for target of Rs644, 640

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Buy and Hold Buy Tata Steel for short term for good returns.

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S&P cuts ICICI Bank commercial paper rating to A-1 from A-1+. (ET)

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The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped 150 points, or 2.2%, to end at 6,875.84. Earlier in the session, the Dow had been up more than 250 points. The broader S&P 500 index rose 16.5 points, or 2.4%, to close at 712.87. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite index surged 33 points, or 2.5%, to finish at 1,353.74.

Pri Market Commentary ...

Today, the key indices are primed for further gains on the back of RBI’s latest monetary offensive and a rebound in global equities. The advance may be temporary though, given the multitude of headwinds confronting us.The banks will have to do something with the money they hold. The RBI has finally blinked and cut short-term rates by 50 bps in its continuing bid to nudge banks to lower borrowing costs.
But, the real issue is not with supply (liquidity), but the sluggish demand. Customers and banks continue to be risk averse. It is the crisis of confidence which is plaguing the markets, not only in India but across the world. Unless there is a reversal in this trend, we are unlikely to see a sustained advance in stocks.
Alternate bouts of buying and selling often tossed the benchmark index in positive and negative terrain. Even a positive start to equity markets across Europe had a minimal impact on the sentiments today.

Positive & Nagative Breakouts

Positive Breakouts
M&M
Hindustan Zinc
Grasim Ind
Tata Motors
GSPL


Negative Breakouts

BPCL
Union Bank India
Indiabulls Real
TCS
Wipro
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RBI cuts Repo & Reverse Repo rates by 50bps.

Policy rates have already been slashed considerably since October. Banks too have done their bit, especially the nationalised ones. Private banks have been a little reluctant in cutting rates. The moot point is whether banks are willing to give up lazy banking and start lending again in a big way. A reverse repo rate below 4% should discourage banks from parking funds with the RBI.

ICICI BANK (RS285) trading levels ..

NEGATIVE TREND at Rs. 291
With SL of Rs 297 hold for the
target of Rs. 276 to 273 levels...!!!

Pre Market Ideas !!

Buy Sail
Buy Century Enka
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Pre Market Intraday Ideas !!

Buy Tata Steel
Buy Gail
Buy SIEMENS
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NIFTY (2645) SUP 2595 RES 2685

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Nifty intraday levels as per charts ..

Intraday below 2647 level,
It will be in Bearish trend.
Selling is suggested with SL of 2651 level
for the target of 2603 to 2587 levels;

Regarding POSITIVE TREND,
Buying is suggested around level of 2651
with SL of 2647,
Target at 2669 to 2673 levels.....!!!

FIIs were net sellers in the cash segment on Wednesday at Rs4.94bn

FIIs were net sellers in the cash segment on Wednesday at Rs4.94bn, while the local institutions pumped in Rs1.19bn. In the F&O segment, the foreign funds were net buyers at Rs7.93bn. On Tuesday, FIIs were net sellers in the cash segment at Rs6.46bn. Mutual Funds were net sellers of Rs1.04bn.

Wednesday, March 4, 2009

सेन्सेक्स (8446.49) 19.20 अंक चढ्कर, नीफ़्टी (2645.20) 22.80 अंक चढ्कर, बंद..

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Sell Kotak bank March Fut at Rs 232 with SL of Rs237 for target price of Rs224

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Short Dr Reddy's Labs Mar Futs between Rs386-384 with SL of Rs395 for target of Rs373, 369

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European markets update: FTSE Index up 1.4% and DAX Index up 0.8%

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Nifty Intraday : Our call trading strong at 2638, hold for target

TRADING STRONG"
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Intraday : Buy Nifty March Fut at Rs 2615 SL 2597 Tgt 2655,2666.

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High risk traders short Bombay Dyieng March Futs at Rs137 with SL of Rs142 for target price of Rs129
Sri Lankan team attacked in Pak, 6 injured

""
New Zealand, India donned black bands for Sri Lanka""
- Today NorthPOLE team will post all postings on
BLACK COLOR-
for Sri Lankan team
All INDIA
denounced the attack.
Buy & hold ICICI Bank between Rs300-302 with SL of Rs294 for target of Rs312, 315

RELIANCE trading range ...

RELIANCE [RS. 1183.90]

NEGATIVE TREND on charts if trade at Rs. 1197 With SL at Rs 1207

for the target of Rs. 1166 to 1157 levels...!!!

Nifty trading rang Ideas ...

Intraday if Nifty below 2597 level,
it will be in Bearish trend. Selling is suggested
with SL of
2607 level
for the target of
2530 to 2517 levels;

Regarding
POSITIVE TREND,
Buying is suggested if Nifty trades at
leveel of
2607 with SL of 2597,
hold
for Target at 2619 to 2630 levels.....!!!

Pre Market Ideas !!

Buy Rcom
Sell Sun Pharma
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GMR

Shares of GMR Infra slipped 0.3% to Rs75. The company announced that its promoters raised stake to 74.2591%. The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs78 and a low of Rs75 and recorded volumes of over 0.3mn shares on BSE.

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Pre Market Commentary ...

Today, we see another circumspect start, which may later turn into a lackluster day. The bias still remains negative given the fragile global sentiment.The bulls must be terrified at the prospect of further losses just as the cricketing world is stunned following the assault on Sri Lankan cricketers in Lahore. But then it could have been worse!

Though valuations have dropped to attractive levels, the complete lack of conviction and rising risk aversion will continue to play spoilsport.

Reasons are not new and have been well articulated. World economy continues to be in a bad shape, in the wake of the unprecedented financial crisis. India too is no exception, which is clear from the Q3 GDP numbers and other periodic data points. The rupee’s sharp depreciation versus the dollar has only made the matters worse for Indian stocks. A big negative fallout of this is accelerated selling by the FIIs.

Pre Market Intraday Ideas !!

Buy NTPC
Buy Aurobindo Pharma
Sell Bharti Airtel
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Grasim

Shares of Grasim gained by 3% to Rs1362 after the company announced that cement sales in the last month rose 10.1% to 2.92nm tons. The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs1392 and a low of Rs1308 and recorded volumes of over 0.1mn shares on BSE.

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NIFTY (2622) SUP 2570 RES 2677

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Positive & Nagative Breakouts

Positive Breakouts

Bhushan Steel
M&M
Tata Motors
GSPL
Cipla
Negative Breakouts

Petronet LNG
Adlabs Films
Crompton Greaves
HUL
ACC
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FIIs were net sellers in the cash segment on Tuesday at Rs7.41bn

FIIs were net sellers in the cash segment on Tuesday at Rs7.41bn, while the local institutions pumped in Rs5.23bn. In the F&O segment, the foreign funds were net buyers at Rs4.77bn. On Monday, FIIs were net sellers in the cash segment at Rs4.78bn.

Tuesday, March 3, 2009

सेन्सेक्स (8427.29) -179.79 अंक गिरकर, नीफ़्टी (2622.40) -52.20 अंक गिरकर, बंद..

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Suzlon wins 100MW World Bank backed project in China

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IVRCL Infra wins order worth Rs670cr -report

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High risk traders sell RCOM March Fut at Rs144 with SL of Rs150 for target of Rs134

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Our Morning Call Buy RELIANCE at 1246, Target Achieved.





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Sell Bharti Airtell March Fut at Rs598 with SL of Rs605 for target price of Rs582

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High risk traders buy & hold DLF between Rs147-150 with SL of Rs143 for target of Rs157, 160

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High risk traders buy & hold SBI between Rs990-996 with SL of Rs978 for target of Rs1015, 1020

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RELIANCE CLOSED at RS.1214.90


NEGATIVE TREND only if trade below Rs. 1237

With SL @ Rs 1247

for the target of Rs. 1197 to 1188 levels...!!!

Nifty trading Ideas ..

Intraday below 2637 level,
It will be in
Bearish trend.
Selling
is suggested with
SL of
2647 level for
the target of
2603 to 2597 levels;
Regarding
POSITIVE TREND,
Buying
is suggested @ level of 2647
with
SL of 2637,

Target @
2689 to 2703 levels.....!!!

Pre Market Intraday Ideas !!

Sell SUN TV
Sell HERO HONDA
Buy RELIANCE
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Pre Market Ideas !!

Sell AXIS BANK
Sell SIEMENS
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NIFTY (2674) SUP 2600 RES 2725

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US stocks slumped on Monday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 index falling to new 12-year lows after insurance major AIG reported a massive quarterly loss, heightening worries about the financial sector and the economy.

The Dow tumbled 299.64 points, or 4.2%, to 6,763.29, its first close below 7,000 since May 1, 1997. The S&P 500 plunged 34.27 points, or 4.7%, to 700.82, while the Nasdaq Composite Index dived 54.99 points, or 4%, to 1,322.85.

RPL

On the other hand, shares of RPL pared early gains and ended lower by 1.4% to Rs75 after hitting an intra-day high of Rs82 and an intra-day low of Rs70 recording volumes of over 8.9mn shares on BSE.

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Pri Market Commentary ....

Today and in the coming days bulls may continue to remain under pressureas the macro-economic outlook is getting worse by the day, which is evident in the Q3 GDP data followed by weak trade data. Traders should have a cautious approach and be stock specific.
The season of pulling down one another begins on the political front. As days progress, we will witness need-based ‘mergers and acquisitions’ of political parties. While action shifts to the political arena, another slide lays in store for the Indian stock market. A recovery is possible only if global markets oblige though no such signs are visible this morning.
Another negative is the slide in the rupee, which will only encourage further selling by FIIs. Though Feb. auto numbers have been better, the same trend is unlikely to remain for long. The mess in the western financial system will continue to hinder any recovery in the global economy. Lack of positive triggers will keep the domestic market subdued.

Reliance Industries

Shares of Reliance Industries slipped by a 3% to Rs1225 after hitting an intra-day high of Rs1262 and an intra-day low of Rs1213 recording volumes of over 1.6mn shares on BSE.

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FIIs were net sellers in the cash segment on Monday at Rs5.8bn

FIIs were net sellers in the cash segment on Monday at Rs5.8bn, while the local institutions pumped in Rs3.34bn. In the F&O segment, the foreign funds were net sellers at Rs455.7mn. On Friday, FIIs were net sellers in the cash segment at Rs2.7bn.

Positive & Nagative Breakouts

Positive Breakouts

M&M
Ultratech Cement
Hindustan Zinc
Colgate-Palmoliv
Glaxosmithkline


Negative Breakouts

DLF
Tech Mahindra
Bharti Airtel
Sun Pharma
HPCL
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Monday, March 2, 2009

सेन्सेक्स (8607.08) -284.53 अंक गिरकर, नीफ़्टी (2674.60) -89.05 अंक गिरकर, बंद..

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European markets update: FTSE Index down 2.4% and CAC Index down 2.5%

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Buy & hold Bank India between Rs223-224 with SL of Rs217 for target of Rs235, 238

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Election dates to be announced at 3.30 pm today

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Buy Bhel March Fut at Rs1373 with SL of Rs1354 for target price of Rs1410

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High risk traders buy & hold Dr Reddys Labs between Rs392-394 with SL of Rs385 for target of Rs405, 410

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Buy 2700 March Nifty Call @ Rs102 or less with SL of Rs85 for target of Rs130

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Shareholders of RPL will receive 1 fully paid equity share of RIL for every 16 fully paid equity shares.

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Intraday below 2737 level, It will be in Bearish trend.

Selling is suggested with SL of 2747 level

for the target of 2717 to 2688 levels;

Regarding POSITIVE TREND,

Buying is suggested @ level of 2747 with SL of 2737,

Target @ 2797 to 2808 levels.....!!!

Sell Ranbaxy, Get levels, Join Us!!

Domestic pharma retail market has recorded nearly 15% growth in January.(TOI)

NIFTY (2763) SUP 2704 RES 2814

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Pre Market Ideas !!

Buy JSW Steel
Buy Cairn
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Pre Market Intraday Ideas !!

Sell LNT
Sell Ranbaxy
Buy Bombay Dyeing
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Reliance : Our long term delivery call given on pre market on friday, stock to watch

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Pri Market Commentary ..

Today, on the overall bourses we see the same old story; a weak start and later globally clues directing the proceedings.History is set to repeat on the bourses, as Reliance has done it again. Most analysts expect the ratio to favour RIL, though there could be a positive surprise for RPL shareholders. Though expected, we are surprised by the timing of the proposed merger of RPL with RIL. The swap ratio may be in a range between 16:1 and 24:1 (RPL:RIL). RPL shareholders could lose out if the ratio is unfavorable. But they will get an exposure to RIL’s high profile E&P assets, retail and SEZ businesses. So, we expect RIL to rally (later than sooner).

RIL’s weightage is high in the key indices but it may not be able to counter the persistent headwinds from the global markets. Even the macro-economic outlook is getting worse by the day, which is evident in the Q3 GDP data. The government’s fiscal situation also seems to be spiraling out of control.
The markets have fresh news to ponder and speculate on. Reliance Industries has done it again and finally announced a board meeting to mull merger with Reliance Petroleum. With Fortune 500 companies coming down in value, mergers will like may well create the balance sheet size that Indian conglomerates desire. All said and done, bulls and bears may hardly March anywhere this F&O series.

ONGC

Shares of ONGC declined by over 3.5% to Rs690 after reports stated that the company shut a platform in the Bombay High offshore field reducing gas output by 40%. The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs720 and a low of Rs621 and recorded volumes of over 3.2mn on BSE.

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Positive & Nagative Breakouts

Positive Breakouts

Mov Avg 20d
Colgate-Palmoliv
Glenmark Pharma
National Alumin
NTPC
JSPL


Negative Breakouts

Dr Reddy'S Labs
Essar Oil
ACC
Tech Mahindra
MTNL
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FIIs were net sellers in the cash segment on Friday at Rs4.63bn

FIIs were net sellers in the cash segment on Friday at Rs4.63bn, while the local institutions pumped in Rs6.49bn. In the F&O segment, the foreign funds were net sellers at Rs3.16bn. On Thursday, FIIs were net sellers in the cash segment at Rs2.38bn.

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