Saturday, June 18, 2011
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Friday, June 17, 2011
Marke Commentary ..
The RBI has done what it was expected to do. No surprises in the RBI statement either, with the central bank maintaining its anti-inflation stance. Positive takeaways include no major economic slowdown seen though RBI remains worried about the global backdrop. Given that domestic fuel prices have not been fully adjusted to the global reality, inflation is likely to stay high for some time to come. That means more small doses of tightening from the RBI in the coming months.
A big problem for India is that the Government machinery seems to have gone into deep slumber. UPA II needs to get cracking on the policy front to shore up investor sentiment and consumer confidence.
The start is expected to be flat-to-sideways amid mixed and indecisive offshore cues. US blue chip stocks managed slender gains while technology shares slipped. European markets ended in the red. Asian indices are struggling for direction.
Some recovery is likely after two days of losses but one must be cautious as FIIs don’t appear to be gung-ho on India at the moment. Stick to stock specific approach.
Thursday, June 16, 2011
Vas Infrastructure Limited : AT 111.90, Our 3rd target complited
OUR VASINFRA at 111.90
BANG ON TARGET
FOR NEXT TARGET 119.90 & 124.90
BANG ON TARGET
FOR NEXT TARGET 119.90 & 124.90
Marke Commentary ..
Okay, buckle up for anther rough and tough session. There is no real mystery in what the RBI could do; a 25-bps rate hike by the RBI has been priced in. What the RBI says will be important. In short, stay calm and avoid undue risk taking. With apologies to Buffett, we can’t really be greedy now when others are fearful.
The RBI has been waging a war against inflation but its year-long efforts don’t seem to be having the desired impact. On the other hand, there has been some moderation in the economy. Having said that, the advance tax numbers and credit offtake are belying fears of a slowdown. The less said the better about the UPA II’s governance.
The start will be gap-down due to steep losses as Greek debt woes continue to hound world markets. So, risk is being taken off the table. The dollar is up due to safe haven buying. The euro is under pressure as concerns over Greek finances mount and after Moody’s issued a warning on French banks.
US slowdown is adding to the gloomy mood. There is also some anxiety over China. One positive for India today is that crude has corrected.
Wednesday, June 15, 2011
Buy and Hold...
We recommend investors to BUY GAIL, GSPL, Indraprastha Gas and Petronet LNG.
GAIL – BUY
CMP Rs451, Target Rs525, Upside 16.5%
± Doubling gas transmission capacity in two years
± Exposure to city gas projects and E&P fields value accretive
± Huge expansion planned for the petrochemical segment
± Subsidy an overhang, but relatively better placed
GSPL – BUY
CMP Rs97, Target Rs113, Upside 16.3%
± Expansion of transmission capacity to serve rising demand in Gujarat
± Three cross-country pipelines to add value
± Tariffs to remain flattish post PNGRB authorization
Indraprastha Gas – BUY
CMP Rs370, Target Rs409, Upside 10.5%
± Improving CNG economics and wider availability to drive demand in NCR region
± Under-penetration to propel demand for PNG
± Pricing power to enable margin sustenance
Petronet LNG – BUY
CMP Rs141, Target Rs162, Upside 14.9%
± Near term LNG demand to remain strong on lower production at KG-D6 field
± Expanding capacities at opportune time
± Regasification tariffs would continue to rise
Power Grid Corporation: BUY & HOLD;
CMP Rs100-105, Target Rs125-135, Upside 26.0%
Power Grid Corporation Ltd has been forming bullish pattern of ‘falling wedge’ on the long term charts giving conservative target of Rs130 in the coming weeks. With confirming signals from volumes, moving average, RSC and consolidation pattern, the stage is set for the stock to power ahead from current levels.
± Tata Steel and Jindal Steel & Power will use the large inferior coal deposits in the country to produce ultra clean liquid fuels such as diesel and naphtha to meet growing energy demands. (ET)
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