Saturday, August 29, 2009

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Friday, August 28, 2009

सेन्सेक्स (15922.34) 141.27 अंक चढ्कर, नीफ़्टी (4732.35) 44.15 अंक चढ्कर, बंद..

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European markets update: FTSE Index up 0.5%, DAX Index up 0.7% and CAC Index up 0.8%

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KEC International wins order worth Rs780cr

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IFCI:

Long rollover was witnessed in the counter in the September series. IFCI saw a rollover of 85% almost same when compared to last series but with higher Open Interest base. Expect the stock to continue its up move to the level of Rs61 in short-medium term.

ESSAR OIL ...

The stock has seen a rollover of 90% to the next series as compared to just 64% during the August rollover. Despite of short rollover been aggressive in the counter during last expiry, the stock managed to hold on to its critical support areas. We expect the stock to witness positive momentum in the near term to the levels of Rs160.

First Source Solutions (FSL):

Good rollover was witnessed in the counter on the last day of expiry. It saw a rollover of 84% but with a higher open interest base. The stock looks promising to touch Rs41-45 odd levels.

GSPL ..

The counter continued to witness higher rollover in the current expiry, mostly on the long side. It saw a rollover of 92% as compared to 84% in July series. In addition, the stock has added fresh long in the Sept series. We believe the momentum can continue in the counter on account of strong built up in September series. We advise traders to hold on to their position for the price target of Rs90-94

NSE-FORollover Watch ..

Sectors like Automobiles, Auto Ancillaries, Banking, Capital Goods, Cement, Fertilizer & Chemicals, Infrastructure, Shipping & Aviation and Telecom have witnessed strong rollover as compared to sectors like, FMCG, IT, Media, Metals, Construction, Oil & Gas, Sugar ,Power and Pharma.

Hero Honda (92%), M&M (88%), Tata Motors (84%), Bharat Forge (92%), ALBK (82%) ,Indian Bank (92%), Dena Bank (83%), OBC (83%), Vijaya bank (89%), IDBI(84%), LIC Housing Finance (79%), IFCI (85%), Apil (86%), Punj Llyod (81%), Praj Industries (90%), Ultra tech Cement (86%), India Cements (95%), Nagarjuna Fert (87%), TATA Chemicals (90%), FSL (84%), EduComp (91%), GMR Infra (92%), IVRCLINFRA (72%), DLF (87%), DCHL(88%), Dish TV(83%), Bhusan Steel (81%), CAIRN (87%), Aurobindo Pharma (89%), Balrampur Chini (91%) and GTL Infra (93%) were some of the stocks which witnessed strong rollover.

Nifty Rollover Watch ..

Nifty witnessed a rollover of 76% to the September series with 7mn shares left to expire worthless. However, the rollover was much higher when compared to the last two rollovers of August (69%) and July (55%). Nifty during the current expiry made a low of 4,353 on expectation of profit booking and bad monsoon. However, it failed to go further down and rallied strongly from thereon to close the expiry on a bullish note. In the current expiry, we believe Nifty rolls were higher on the long side as the cost of carry saw a surge in the premium of Rs8-10 for the September series on the expiry day. Market-wide open interest of Future now stands at approximately Rs448bn.



Total Market rollover (Stock future and Nifty future) to the September series stood at 84%, higher when compared sequentially. The current series has seen 215mn shares expire worthless as compared 242mn in the July series

Intraday : Sell Tata Steel at 432 SL 447 Tgt 424.90,421,417.

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Delivery Call : Buy & hold Optocircuit on deeps at 188 SL 179 Tgt 300. 1 year hold.

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Our BTST Call GE SHIP is going strong at 299.

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Result Update: Tata Steel Ltd (Q1 FY10) – SELL

Sell above Rs436, Target Rs389,
Downside about 11%
SELL IT !!

Stocks to watch ABG Shipyard, SCI, Essar Oil and Divis Lab

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Pre Market Commentary ..

Today, we expect a cautious start and the usual choppy session. Most market players could ‘wait-and-watch’ before taking a fresh call. The near-term target on the Nifty is 4750-4800. For the Nifty to decisively cross the 5000-mark in the next few weeks, we would need very firm backing from global cues and an even stronger commitment from funds. In the meantime, the party may continue on the side counters.
Absence of fresh positive triggers could also keep a lid on further gains. At the same time, downside will be limited as plenty of players – who have missed out on the recent spurt - are ready to jump in. The market has been moving up for close to five-months now. No harm in getting a little lazy with your fund allocation. Skyrocketing small-caps are often a sign of trouble ahead. With no clear signals from global markets, looks like we are going to have a subdued end to the week.
Interest from foreign as well as local funds was quite anemic on Thursday. Today may not be much different.

NIFTY 4646 - 4747


BELOW @ 4709 level, it will be in BEARISH TREND.

SELLING is suggested with SL of 4713 level

for the target @ 4677 to 4646 levels;


Regarding BULLISH TREND,

BUYING is suggested @ the level of 4713 with SL of 4709

Target @ 4730 to 4747 levels.....!!!

Pre Market Ideas !!

Buy ICICI BANK





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Pre Market Intraday Ideas !!

Buy RIL

Buy SBI






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FIIs were net sellers at Rs414.7mn in the cash segment on Thursday

POSITIVE BREAKOUTS & NEGETIVE BREAKOUTS

POSITIVE BREAKOUT


TATA TEA
LUPIN
BHARAT FORG
NTPC
IDEA CELLULAR

NEGETIVE BREAKOUT


TATA STEEL
NDTV
PNB
HUL
CANARA BANK
Mahindra Satyam BPO has bagged an outsourcing deal from Tata Teleservices for its newly-launched GSM services. (ET)
IVRCL Infrastructures & Projects has secured three orders including drinking water supply project in Mumbai, in all worth Rs5.8bn.(BS)
Wipro has won two new outsourcing contracts estimated to be worth around $100mn each from Foster’s, Australia’s and Lavasa, a unit of HCC. (ET)
Bharti Airtel has reportedly agreed to a small sweetener in its offer to MTN; it has reportedly agreed to offer MTN shareholders roughly US$13.1bn in cash, while the remaining amount would be in the form of shares.(FE)

NIFTY (4688) SUP 4588 RES 4788

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Thursday, August 27, 2009

सेन्सेक्स (15781.07) 11.22 अंक चढ्कर, नीफ़्टी (4688.20) 7.35 अंक चढ्कर, बंद..

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Our BTST Call : Buy GESHIP at 295.

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Our third target achieved in Buy Nifty at Rs 4707.Book profit.

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Mudra Port - Trading strong at Rs.593

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Intraday : Buy Nifty at 4677 SL 4647 Tgt 4697,4707,4717.

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BHEL wins order worth Rs190cr for captive power plant

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Delivery Call :Hold Buy ABAN at 1590 revised target 1740 and 2150.

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Buy RNRL, Mudra Port and FSL on dips for short term delivery.

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Hold our delivery call GTL Infra at 35-38, TARGET 42-44

GTL Infra, shows a distinctive pattern emerging which signals a temporary bottom. The overall base-like pattern carved out by GTL Infra during the past 1 month appears to be maturing now. In fact, the last couple of trading weeks it represents a high level bullish congestion area between Rs34-38. We believe that the current bullish consolidation lead to a potential upside up to the levels of Rs43 and above. We recommend traders to buy the stock in the range of Rs35-38 for a short-term target of Rs42-44. It is advisable to maintain a stop loss of Rs31.90.

Delivery Call !!

Buy Suzlon






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Pre Market Intraday Ideas !!

Buy TV18

Buy Infosys






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Pre Market Commentary ...

Today we expect a subdued opening, though action will pick up later. Bulls and bears will slug it out as August F&O contracts expire.

Stocks of export-oriented sectors could hog the limelight as the Government is scheduled to announce the Foreign Trade Policy today. We expect the Centre to unveil a few relief measures to ease the pain for the exporters. A few factors will have an influence on the sentiment. Among the critical ones include: the fallout from drought, inflation, fund flows and of course global cues.
The Nifty is close to breaching 4700, which has in the recent past proved to be quite stubborn. A slew of technical analysts predict further gains if the Nifty stays above 4700 for a considerable period of time. The greed is getting bigger with bullish ones even talking of Nifty soaring to 5300 in the next few weeks.

Ignoring valuations, small-cap & mid-cap stocks appear to be playing catch-up with frontline counters on the logic that side counters had under-performed lately. It’s sure time to fear.
Cairn India and ONGC to invest US$1.5-1.8bn more in Rajasthan over the next two years.
Bharti Airtel may have to pay Rs20bn more than originally presumed to shareholders of MTN as the South African currency has significantly appreciated against the US Dollar.

POSITIVE & NEGATIVE BREAKOUTS

POSITIVE BREAKOUTS


DLF
CENTURY TEXTILE
ADLABS
UNITED SPIRITS
IFCI


NEGATIVE BREAKOUTS


NDTV
BPCL
SESA GOA
GREAT OFFS
SAIL

FIIs were net buyers at Rs3.78bn in the cash segment on Wednesday

  • FIIs were net buyers at Rs3.78bn in the cash segment on Wednesday on a provisional basis while the local funds pumped in Rs1.28bn, according to figures published on the NSE's web site. In the F&O segment, the foreign funds were net buyers at Rs4.3bn.

NIFTY (4680) SUP 4580 RES 4780

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Wednesday, August 26, 2009

सेन्सेक्स (15769.85) 81.38 अंक चढ्कर, नीफ़्टी (4680.85) 21.50 अंक चढ्कर, बंद..

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BTST Call Buy TV 18 At 116

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European market update: FTSE index down 0.2%, DAX index down 0.3% and CAC index down 0.2%

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Intraday : Sell Nifty at 4660 SL 4685 Tgt 4640,4630,4620.

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OPTO Circut : Trading strong at 194, BANG ON TARGET BOOK PROFIT


OPTO Circut :
Trading strong at 194

BANG ON TARGET

BOOK PROFIT

ABAN upby 20% at 9.55 at Rs1451 BANG ON TARGET


keep profit booking on
highs!!


ABAN upby 20%
at 9.55 at Rs1451
BANG ON TARGET

Ranbaxy Labs surged by over 7%

Ranbaxy Labs surged by over 7% to Rs343 after the company announced that it received approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration to manufacture and market Glycopyrrolate Tablets USP, 1 mg and 2 mg.

India’s tobacco exports rose by 39% yoy in value terms to Rs13.7bn during Apr-Jul’09. (ET)

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The Government has decided to take two distinct decisions in the two disputes involving the KG D-6 block gas supplies — NTPC-RIL and RIL-RNRL. (BL)

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Hold OPTO Ciruits - revised with sl 171 target 194 and plus

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HOLD stock IN PROFIT!!

Hold Buy ABAN - Looking good on CHARTS ...

Aban has been in an uptrend for the past four trading sessions. On Tuesday, the stock did manage to close above its near term moving averages for a second day indicting strength in the stock. The upswing is also accompanied by healthy volumes. We therefore expect the stock to rally to the levels of Rs1,290-1,310. The daily RSI is already in strong buy mode. Keeping in mind the above-mentioned evidences, we recommend high risk traders to buy the stock between the range of Rs1,210-1,230 with a stop loss of Rs1,190 for an initial target of Rs1,290 and 1,310.

Pre Market Commentary ..

Today,recent gains could water down as the market comes to terms with indecisiveness and intra-day gyrations ahead of the F&O expiry. The 10-year benchmark bond yield ended at 7.30% on Tuesday and the Finance Minister’s language seems to suggest he is trying to talk up the stock market and cool down the bond market.



While it has started pouring in many places, the adverse fallout from the delayed and disappointing rains could be much wider, deeper and longer. Inflation will be the biggest concern going forward. Interest rates too have bottomed out. We see a flat to cautious start and the usual dash of volatility for the day.



Meanwhile, the primary market seems to be gradually coming back to life after a protracted hiatus. It could have some impact on the secondary market, if there are too many issues. We are not talking about the IPOs only. There are other issues as well, like NCDs, GDRs, ADRs and QIPs. Liquidity could switch sides.

Pre Market Ideas !!

Buy SAIL





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Pre Market Intraday Ideas !!

Buy RIL

Buy BHEL





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FIIs were net sellers at Rs2.59bn in the cash segment on Tuesday

FIIs were net sellers at Rs2.59bn in the cash segment on Tuesday on a provisional basis while the local funds pumped in Rs4.36bn, according to figures published on the NSE's web site. In the F&O segment, the foreign funds were net buyers at Rs3.33bn. On Monday, FIIs were net buyers at Rs8.48bn in the cash segment. Mutual Funds were net buyers of Rs4.16bn in the cash segment on the same day.

POSITIVE & NEGATIVE BREAKOUTS

POSITIVE BREAKOUTS


JP ASSOCIATES
STERLITE IND
BF UTILITIES
MRPL
ONGC


NEGATIVE BREAKOUTS


Balrampur Chini
HPCL
INDIA CEMENT
PNB
BHARAT ELECTRONICS

NIFTY (4659) SUP 4559 RES 4759

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Tuesday, August 25, 2009

सेन्सेक्स (15688.47) 59.72 अंक चढ्कर, नीफ़्टी (4659.35) 16.55 अंक चढ्कर, बंद..

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RANBAXY : Our morning call trading above target at 337

RANBAXY

BOOK PROFIT
TARGET ARCHIVED

EVERONN : Our morning call target achived at 383 - BOOK PROFIT

EVERONN : Our morning call target achived at 383 -

BOOK PROFIT

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Delivery Call : HRT Buy Mphasis between Rs568-571 with SL of Rs560 for target of Rs585, 590 in 1-2 days

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Asian markets update: Nikkei Index down 0.7%, Hang Seng Index down 1.1% and Shanghai SEC Index down 3.9%

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HCL Tech : Our yesterday call today on fire at 319

MORE THEN 25% UP JUST IN A DAY

TARGET ARCHIVED
BOOK PROFIT

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Pre Market Commentary..

Today,we are looking for a cautious to slightly lower start, as Asian markets have not been able to extend gains. Japanese stocks are down as a stronger yen has hit export-centric companies. Other regional markets too are flashing the red sign. A lot of economic reports are coming out from the US later this week. One has to see if the fresh set of data points confirm the prognosis that the world is ready to get back on the growth path.


Bulls thundered their way to second successive day of strong gains, thanks largely to strong global cues, especially from Wall Street. Both, FIIs and local institutions threw their weight behind Monday's rally. The gains too were pretty broad-based. Although the undertone remains positive due to upbeat global data points, particularly from the US, the advance may run out of steam on concerns about pricey valuations, flaring inflation and an impending spike in interest rates. Meanwhile, the yield on the benchmark 10-year government bond shot up on Monday on worries about the Centre's massive borrowing programme.


As far as India is concerned, the factors to watch out for are: the shortfall in monsoon rains and its negative fallout on the agri-led consumption story. A further spike in inflation is also imminent and so is hardening of interest rates. How India Inc. copes with these challenges will determine the future course of Dalal Street. For now, one has to deal with growing volatility in the short term.

NIFTY 4590 - 4690


BELOW @ 4646 level, it will be in BEARISH TREND.

SELLING is suggested with SL of 4657 level

for the target @ 4606 to 4590 levels;


Regarding BULLISH TREND,

BUYING is suggested @ the level of 4657 with SL of 4646

Target @ 4677 to 4690 levels.....!!!

Pre Market Ideas !!

Buy SBI

Buy Ranbaxy





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Pre Market Intraday Ideas !!

Buy Tata Comm

Buy Everonn

Buy Bharti Air





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POSITIVE & NEGATIVE BREAKOUTS

POSITIVE BREAKOUTS


HUL
GAIL
PETRONET LNG
INFOSYS
CANARA BANK


NEGATIVE BREAKOUTS


SESA GAO
BALRAMPUR CHINI
INDIA CEMENT
AMBUJA CEMENT
POWERGRID

FIIs were net buyers of Rs 7.12bn in the cash segment on Monday

FIIs were net buyers of Rs 7.12bn in the cash segment on Monday while the local funds too pumped in Rs 2.75bn as per the provisional figures published by the NSE. In the F&O segment, they were net buyers of Rs15.7bn. The foreign funds were net buyers of Rs 5.46bn in the cash segment on Friday. They have poured in US$7.4bn in Indian stocks so far this year.

NIFTY (4642) SUP 4542 RES 4742

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Monday, August 24, 2009

सेन्सेक्स (15628.75) 387.92 अंक चढ्कर, नीफ़्टी (4642.80) 114.00 अंक चढ्कर, बंद..

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European market update: FTSE index up 0.7%, CAC index up 0.3%

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Continue to hold on to our BTST call of Aban for a revised target of Rs1260

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HCL: Our morning call target achived at 294 BOOK PROFIT



TARGET ACHIVED

BOOK PROFIT

RELIANCE : Our morning call trading above our target at 1974

BOOK PROFIT

REL CAPITAL: Our Morning call trading above our target at 834, BOOK PROFIT

OPTO Cirtut : Our Morning call target achived at 188, BOOK PROFIT

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Buy NTPC Aug Futs at Rs206.10 with SL of Rs ??? for target of Rs ??? SMS only paid clients. Join us !!

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ABAN : Our BTST given at 1184, now trading at 1214

ABAN
OUR BTST
TRADING VERY STRONG


BOOK PROFIT
SHORT TERM DELIVERY HOLD

Pre Market Commentary ...

Today, we expect a strong opening. The early gains may not sustain though. Volatility is here to stay and could spike ahead of Thursday’s expiry of August contracts.Risk appetite appears to be on the rise yet again after a brief period of uncertainty.


Upbeat housing data spurred US indices to a new high for the year on Friday. There is a spring in the step of the bulls, if last week’s gains in the US market are any indication. A string of economic reports last week in the US and elsewhere, seems to suggest that a recovery may not remain elusive for too long.


A whole host of data is due this week too, especially in the US. Global markets will continue to dance to the tune and tone set by these reports. Next week, we will have India’s first quarter GDP numbers.


The monsoon has made a comeback of sorts after a long and painful break. This recovery should continue for at least another month to undo some of the damage to the agri-economy.


Pre Market Ideas !!

Buy GVK Power

Buy HCL Tech






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Pre Market Intraday Ideas !!

Buy Opto circuit

Buy Rel Capital

Buy RIL





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NIFTY 4397 - 4510

NIFTY FO CLOSED @ 4536 AS ON 21.08.2009

NIFTY FO has resistance at 4597to 4609 Level ;

Above which other resistance levels are at 4646 to 4709 Level

with highly Volatile Trend,


In Downside support levels are at 4509 to 4444 Level;

below 4444 level, other support levels are at 4407 to 4330 Levels.

FIIs were net buyers at Rs5.33bn in the cash segment on Friday

POSITIVE & NEGATIVE BREAKOUTS

POSITIVE BREAKOUTS


SINTEX
NALCO
CHENNAI PETRO
BHEL
AXIS BANK


NEGATIVE BREAKOUTS


BOI
AMBUJA CEMENT
TATA STEEL
MADRAS CEMENT
IDBI BANK

NIFTY (4528) SUP 4428 RES 4628

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