Monday, December 26, 2011

Dear All,

As per government norms regarding SMS service we are unable to send SMS on time and face lot of problem, as you know in business timing is key factor, we are unwillingly stopping our service for some time, we are in research to reach you [for the first time we have to research to other subject then stock market ] and reschedule our service earliest. Mean time you can visit our site and get free calls and commentary. Post will be made in random meaner.Till then stay tuned and happy trading.



Hope you understand the issue and co-operate.
Thank you for kind support.

Team NORTHPOLE

Wednesday, November 23, 2011

Bank of Baroda (SELL, between Rs700-703, Target Rs672): Bank of Baroda on the daily has violated trend line support of Rs690 and which also reinforces that Wave 5 of Five is in the last stage of progress which should atleast test levels of Rs650 before any signs of recovery. The MACD has been sustaining below the reference line and its 9DMA is about to test the neutral zone. Also despite gains in market stock has underperformed markets which also make case for further downside. We recommend going short on Bank of Baroda December Futures below Rs688 with stop loss of Rs714 for Target of Rs672. (Duration 5 days)
Tata Power (SELL, below Rs93.50, Target Rs89.50): Tata Power has broken down below the lower trendline of a trading channel which also coincides with lower Bollinger Band support, which suggest that the likelihood of upside over the short-term has diminished. For now, the risk/return of establishing long positions is less than ideal. Tata Power in last few trading sessions, had twice bounced back from the above mentioned support levels and in yesterday’s session it closed below it. Moreover, appearance of falling tops signifies the bulls inability to form higher highs. Based on above mentioned technical evidences, we recommend traders to short Tata Power December Futures below Rs93.50 with stop loss of Rs95.50 for target of Rs89.50.

Market Commentary for 23.11.11


The cheerful skies are seeing a colour change. After a small breather, world equity markets have resumed their descent.  A downward revision in US’ Q3 GDP is adding to the already bleak backdrop. But, the US indices didn’t witness sharp cuts. They were down marginally. European benchmarks also closed in the red following a spike in Spanish and Belgian bond yields. Meanwhile, the Fed has announced a new set of stress tests for US lenders. Minutes of the last FOMC meeting show that the central bank is mulling inflation targets.

The opening will be lower. Asian stocks are mostly down, although the Chinese market is showing some resilience ahead of provisional manufacturing PMI data. Japanese markets are shut for a holiday.

For India, the big worry right now is the relentless slide in the Rupee. This has increased the headache for policymakers who have their hands full with a whole host of problems. The first day of the winter session hasn’t inspired much confidence either. Hopefully, things will improve on this front. SKS Microfinance will be in focus amid reports of top-level reshuffle.

Friday, November 18, 2011

Market Commentary 18.11.11


After a stellar show last year, the Indian economy has hit a rough patch amid mounting concerns about the euro area debt crisis and anemic US growth. The weakened macro-economic fundamentals are reflecting in the large twin deficits, which in turn are hurting the rupee. A depreciating rupee is bad news.

The recent sharp selling in stocks can be partly attributed to rupee’s fall. It may hit new lows shortly. The RBI says it is risky to try and prop up the currency.

In short, there is more pain ahead. The start is again going to be lower, as world equities continue to slide. Rising borrowing costs for the debt-stricken eurozone nations is unnerving global investors. US markets closed down while the VIX was up 3%. European benchmarks too dropped. Asian indices are mostly in the red.

There may be some recovery but don’t expect any sustained rebound given the severity of the headwinds. A weekly closing below 4980 will sour the mood further. Next major support is placed at 4700. Retail stocks will be in action amid reports that the Cabinet will consider FDI in multi-brand retail. 

Monday, November 14, 2011

Buy and Hold - GOLD CALL


Buy and Hold - GOLD CALL
Buy Mah and Mah around 777-788
hold for target 800, 824.90 ++

Market Commentary for 14.11.11

For some time now, global developments have been changing by the minute. Thankfully, Friday’s steep fall is likely to be reversed (at least in early trade) as global tidings are mostly encouraging. Italy has named a new premier while its parliament has passed tough austerity measures to control the debt crisis. Lucas Papademos took office on Friday as the new Prime Minister of Greece to save the debt-strapped nation from bankruptcy. Japan's economy has returned to growth after three quarters of contraction.

Asian markets are up and about. US shares rallied on Friday as did their European counterparts. So, the opening is set to be pretty good. The question is whether the early gains will be sustained amid a spate of domestic macro-economic issues.

With the dismal IIP report for September still fresh in memory, investors will have to contend with inflation data for October. Lots of earnings will be released in the next couple of days.

Retail stocks may gain amid report of a Cabinet note on allowing FDI in multi-industrial production (IIP) and inflation numbers.

Friday, November 11, 2011

Exit KFA, sell on every rise

±      About 100 pilots have quit Kingfisher Airlines in the last four months. (BS)
NOW YOUR TURN TO EXIT.
Result Update: Hindalco Industries (Q2 FY12) – BUY
CMP Rs127-130, Target Rs155,165 + Upside 37.5%
 

Buy SBI on dips, target 1877 & 1904 ++

BEST pick in dips

Market Commentary for 11.11.11

The Indian market was spared a rollercoaster ride on account of the holiday. There may be some adjustments to make especially during the initial hour. In case you missed it the main US indices had plunged ~3% on Wednesday after the yield on 10-year Italian bonds rose to its highest levels of 7.48%. The good news is that overnight the Dow Jones ended 113 points higher while S&P added 11 points and Nasdaq closed in the green.

To add to the global confusions, Standard and Poor's said that it had mistakenly announced to some of its clients that it had downgraded France's top "AAA" credit rating, due to a technical error.

Meanwhile, it’s a tale of two ratings for the banking sector in India. Standard & Poor’s has upgraded India’s banking industry on Thursday even as Moody’s downgraded Indian banks to negative from stable, citing profitability, asset quality and capital concerns.

Besides the morning fluctuations, the Indian market will be driven mostly by the factory output, as measured by the index of industrial production (IIP) and inflation numbers.

Wednesday, November 9, 2011

Manappuram Finance (BUY, above Rs62.50, Target Rs66.50): On the daily chart, the stock has given an upside breakout, considered to be an important bullish signal. The stock is poised for further gains in the next few trading sessions. The undertone is reasonably strong and is likely to push price higher. After breaking above its 200-DMA last week, the stock has made higher tops. The upside breakout is well accompanied with impressive volumes. The stock recorded three-fold delivery volumes, exceeding its 5-day average. Based on above mentioned technical evidences, we recommend traders to buy the stock above Rs62.50 with stop loss of Rs60.50 for target of Rs66.50. (Duration 4 days)
Reliance Media (BUY, between 92-92.5, Target Rs100): Reliance Media  has been showing resilience in last 3-4 weeks with trough of Rs84 holding firmly despite volatile markets. Such a higher bottom formation thus result into a bullish pattern of double bottom which implies that downside risk for the counter is almost over. The RSI on weekly chart is taking shape of inverted head and shoulder in the oversold terrain which reinforces bullish trend in the counter. We recommend buying Reliance Media in the range of Rs92-92.5 with stop loss of Rs89 for Target of Rs100. (Duration 7 days)

Market Commentary for 09.11.11

A flat start awaits the Indian stock market as investors begin to digest the effects or after effects of the global developments. Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi has resigned to the fact that his stepping down after the adoption of key reforms would boost the image of Italy. Greece is weighing all options or rather finding all avenues to get emergency funds to avert bankruptcy; Prime Minister George Papandreou had announced he will step down.

With a host of results being announced today stock-specific activity will be seen. The inflation and IIP data is also awaited this week. Investors may adopt a cautious approach given the fact that markets are closed tomorrow.

The global markets are more or less positive. Japan’s Nikkei Stock is up almost a percent. South Korea’s Kospi is also up. US indices staged a rally ending nearly at the day’s high.

India's merchandise exports fell to a 12-month low of US$19.9bn in October triggering the trade deficit to rise to a four-year-high of US$19.6 bn in the month. The Centre’s indirect tax revenue dropped 2.5 % to Rs 302.78bn in October.

Friday, November 4, 2011

BTST; M&M Nov Future at 836.10

Buy and Hold; 
M&M Nov Future at 836.10
for TARGET ON TUESDAY 
847.90, 851 ++
SURE SHOT
Axis Bank (BUY, above Rs1,117, Target Rs1,145): Axis Bank is currently trading near support of 50 DMA, which most of the time turns out to be trend reversal when stock is into uptrend. The correction from the intermediate peak of Rs1194 has so far unfolded into a zig zag corrective form which confirms that stock is into a medium term uptrend. On the medium term chart stock is in process of forming right shoulder of inverted H&S which is a bullish pattern with RSI sustaining above 50 mark. We recommend buying Axis Bank Ltd above Rs1,117 with stop loss of Rs1,103 for Target of Rs1,145. (Duration 4 days)

Maret Commentary for 04, Nov 2011


The market will hope nothing goes wrong soon. For now, world markets are breathing little easy now that Greek’s PM has shelved the controversial plebiscite on the EU bailout. However, George Papandreou may still be in trouble as he braces for Friday’s confidence vote in parliament.

Indian indices will rise at start following the relief rally across global equities. But, the undertone may remain edgy over the ongoing political instability in Greece. Reports also suggest that Italian premier is under pressure to resign.

G20 leaders have urged eurozone counterparts to stabilise Greece and fix the two-year-old debt crisis. Leading nations have also agreed to boost the IMF war chest to deal with potential emergency. Meanwhile, the ECB has cut interest rates by 25 bps amid looming eurozone recession and turmoil in Greece. Italian bond yields softened post the ECB move after having jumped to euro area record. The G20 summit and US jobs data are among the crucial overseas events to keep on one’s radar. Back home, inflation continues to be in focus with food inflation jumping to nine-month peak. Petrol prices have been hiked by nearly Rs 2 per litre. Services PMI shrunk for the third successive month.

Wednesday, November 2, 2011

Sector Watch: 
Oil Marketing Co., Power & FMCG 

Sector Avoid: 
Metal, Infra, Banking, Realty, I.T., Auto & Capital Goods

Today Listing:


Indo Thai Securities 
 (BSE Code: 533676)

Cipla (SELL, below Rs290, Target Rs277):

On the daily chart, Cipla reversed from the resistance line which coincides with its Upper Bollinger Band, suggesting that the likelihood of further upside over the short-term has diminished. For now, the risk/return of establishing long positions is less than ideal. Yesterday, the stock declined with impressive volumes. Selling pressure could intensify in the counter below the levels of Rs288. The daily RSI has given a negative crossover which could provide immediate trigger for down fall. We advise going short on Cipla November Futures below Rs290 with stop loss of Rs295 for target of 277 (Duration 5 days)

Market Commentary for 2.1.2011

Just when world markets were beginning to settle down comes another jolt from abroad. And no prices for guessing where the latest shocker has come from - Greece. The prime minister of the debt-stricken eurozone nation has stunned everyone by calling for a referendum on the EU bailout deal.

The surprise announcement has only added to the doubts over the fate of the grand plan to tame the debt crisis. The fresh turmoil in the financial markets comes ahead of the two-day G20 summit in France later this week.

In another startling move, the Greek PM has replaced the top brass in Army, Navy and Air Force. For the day, attention will partly shift to the FOMC meet and remarks made by Fed chairman Ben Bernanke.

The ECB will take a call on whether to cut rates or not on Thursday while US monthly jobs report will in focus on Friday.

The start today will be down on the back of a worldwide selloff in equities. There could be some recovery later in the session if global cues improve. But, given the heightened uncertainty and volatility, it would be prudent to tread cautiously.

Tuesday, November 1, 2011

Buy and Hold M&M AT 839

Target : 880
Target Time Frame : 3 days
Fresh Entry : Yes
Stop Loss :834.90
Result Update: Hindustan Unilever (Q2 FY12) – Market Performer
CMP Rs375, Target Rs358, Downside 4.4%
Result Update: BPCL (Q2 FY12) – Market Performer
CMP Rs623, Target Rs650, Upside 4.3%
Result Update: Wipro Ltd (Q2 FY12) – Market Performer
CMP Rs366, Target Rs402, Upside 9.7%
Result Update: ICICI Bank (Q2 FY12) – BUY
CMP Rs931, Target Rs1,200, Upside 29%

BPCL (SELL, below Rs625, Target Rs600):

 BPCL has broken down below the critical support of its 200-DMA which was placed at levels of Rs633, which suggest that the likelihood of upside over the short-term has diminished. For now, the risk/return of establishing long positions is less than ideal. BPCL in last one month, has on five occasions bounced back from the above mentioned support levels and in yesterday’s session it closed below it. Moreover, appearance of falling tops signifies the bulls inability to form higher highs. Based on above mentioned technical evidences, we recommend traders to short BPCL November Futures below Rs625 with stop loss of Rs635 for target of Rs600. (Duration 5 days)

Market Commentary for 01 Nov 2011

The October heat didn’t have much of an impact on the stock markets, as progress on the grand plan to check the eurozone fiscal mess lifted the pall of gloom.

However, investors could be staring at a nervous start to November on the back of a sharp fall in the US and European indices. Barring china, most Asian markets are also in the red. The initial euphoria over last week's euro-zone deal seems to have faded amid lack of details on how to rein in the debt crisis. Spanish and Italian bonds have tumbled, forcing the ECB to buy their debt.

The yen slid against the US dollar after Japanese authorities intervened in the forex markets again. Gold and silver futures dropped. Crude oil too declined. The latest manufacturing PMI survey shows slower growth in China. German retail sales came in weaker-than-expected while the Spanish economy stalled in Q3 over Q2.

Back home too the bad news continues, with the core sector growth dipping to a 31-month low. Concerns are also mounting over the ballooning fiscal deficit. But results have not been too bad and FII flows have turned positive again. The intermediate up-trend could pick up if the Nifty sustains above 5400. The previous resistance of 5200 will now turn into a strong support.

Monday, October 31, 2011

Delivery Call; Buy and Hold TATA STEEL at 483.90

Delivery Call; 
Buy and Hold 
TATA STEEL at 483.90
Target : 508.75
Target Time Frame : 8 days
Stop Loss : 470.6

BOOK PROFIT in RIL and TATAMOTOR

Our Diwali Mahurat 
stock IN PLUS
BOOK PROFIT

Pantaloon Retail (BUY, between Rs184-186, Target 196):

The stock has undergone severe correction in last two months. But with appearance of long legged ‘bullish hammer’ after five impulse down, the stage is set for a corrective rally in the stock. The momentum oscillators, both RSI and MACD are generating strong buy signal from extremely oversold terrain and minimum retracement of atleast 38.2% would ensure price up move till Rs240.  The volume has been phenomenal on Friday’s up move. We recommend buying stock in the range of Rs184-186 with stop loss of Rs181 for Target of Rs196. (Duration 7 days)

PFC (BUY, above Rs155, Target Rs163)

 PFC has given a breakout from rectangular band of Rs154-142 on Friday with impressive volumes, which has turned the short term trend to positive. The immediate projection on the upside is seen at Rs169 based on the concept of range breakout. The volumes have gone up during the breakout which supports the buying argument in the counter and any pullback to re-test the support line of its 100-DMA placed at Rs151, which should be used as a buying opportunity. We advise buying the stock above Rs155 with stop loss of Rs151 for Target of Rs163.

Market Commentary for 31.Oct 2011

Just before the first Indian grand prix, the markets had the exhilarating experience of revving engines and screeching tyres as the Nifty raced ahead close to the 5400 mark. Now, it looks like the world stocks are taking a breather. US equity benchmarks had a flat finish on Friday while their European counterparts ended mixed. Italian shares slid after a tepid auction pushed yields on Italian 10-year bonds back above 6%.

Asian markets are mixed this morning while the Nifty futures trading in Singapore are pointing to a muted start. Japanese shares are up slightly while the yen is down after the government stepped in to check the currency’s advance.

The Indian indices may consolidate after the Nifty nearly hit the 5,400 mark last week. Although the Nifty could gradually rise to 5,600, it is likely to face resistance around 5450.

Corporate earnings will continue to attract attention in the next couple of weeks. Key domestic data points to watch out for in the near-term include auto sales, cement volumes, manufacturing & services PMIs, IIP and inflation. Globally, investors will have to contend with manufacturing & services PMIs, FOMC meet, G-20 summit and US monthly jobs report.

Friday, October 28, 2011

GAIL (BUY, above Rs418.50, Target Rs440):

 The consolidation phase in Gail has come to an end with breakout from formation of ‘falling wedge’ pattern on the daily chart. Hence forth the positive momentum could accentuate further as stock has managed to breach the resistance of Rs418 which corresponds to descending resistance line of the ‘falling wedge’ pattern and also formed higher high on the weekly chart. The stock is also showing a positive divergence on the weekly chart, thus supporting buying argument in the counter. We recommend buying GAIL above Rs418.5 with stop loss of Rs408.5 for Target of Rs440. Duration 7 days.

Reliance ; Our MAHURAT stock trading strong at 904, hold for 950 plus


Diwali Dhamaka 2011



The festive season is here and the overall environment remains uncertain. This Diwali, we bring you 11 prime stock ideas (and a couple of alternative assets too), which you can rely on to deliver healthy returns. These recommendations reflect our strategy of sticking to defensives and being selective with respect to cyclicals. It is certainly not the time to be aggressive; instead adopt a pragmatic and balanced investment approach. Safety will continue to assume importance as structural issues both global and domestic are unlikely to get resolved in the near term. We are hinting at Euro Zone debt issues, looming risk of US recession, paralyzed domestic GCF, policy impasse, sticky WPI and the overshooting fiscal deficit. In terms of sectoral mix, we advise keeping equilibrium between defensive sectors FMCG, Pharma, IT and cyclicals Banking, Auto, Metals. We are reasonably confident that investment in the following 11 stocks on a portfolio basis would provide higher return than the broader market over the next year. Though in the near term Nifty could trade in the range of 4,700-5,200, it is likely to gradually move upwards in the medium to long term.        

We also recommend investments in debt products especially NCDs as it represents a great opportunity to get oneself locked-in at higher rates and for longer time frame. Amongst the NCDs, we recommend instruments of Muthoot and Manappuram due to their attractive yields and underlying profitability of their business. As we believe that commercial interest rate cycle has peaked, these NCDs may start trading at premium to par value given the high coupons.

On the commodity side, we believe Gold will continue to be a ‘Safe Haven’ and provide steady return for yet another year. The key factors that would add to the shine of Gold would be heightened risk aversion on deepening of crisis in Europe and US, loose global liquidity and imperative weakening of the US Dollar. As the most economical and convenient way of investing in Gold is through ETFs, we recommend Gold BeEs having the lowest expense ratio and high liquidity.

We expect this holistic investment approach during Diwali to not only give you smart returns but also ‘peace of mind’.

Happy Diwali!

Tata Motors Ltd – Call Closure, BANG on target


Reco price Rs160, Call closure price Rs205

We had recommended a BUY on Tata Motors in our detailed strategy note Conviction Buy Idea dated 16th August, 2011 with a target price of Rs205 (post split). The stock has hit a high of Rs207.9 in today’s trading session. We recommend investors to book profit at current levels as the stock has rallied ~28% since our recommendation. Although we remain bullish on the long term business potential of the company, we see limited upsides from the current levels. 

Wednesday, October 26, 2011

Diwali Muhurat Trading:
4:45 PM to 6:00 PM.

Wishing you & your family a 
very Happy Deepawali

Diwali Muhurat
Trading Picks

Reliance Industries   
Coal India 
India Cement 
Mundra Port 
ICICI Bank

Tuesday, October 11, 2011

Dear SMS Clients,


Those clients registered with DND will not get SMS now onwards, kindly take note of the same. We have stooped taking fresh subscription for SMS.

team, www.northpole77.com 

Monday, October 10, 2011

Market Commentary

An indifferent start is in the offing owing to mixed global markets and nervousness ahead of the earnings season. We expect the undercurrent to be cautious given the global headline risks. Any material fall in volatility could auger well for the markets. FII flows will also be important. IIP, Infosys results and Inflation will be the three big events for the week apart from all the daily dose of news flow from the offshore markets.
Telecom stocks will be in focus ahead of the release of the New Telecom Policy. Maruti is another stock to keep an eye on owing to fresh labour troubles at its Manesar plant. Sun TV could be under pressure amid reports that the CBI has raided the Chennai premises of Dayanidhi Maran.
While the US jobs data was better-than-expected, sentiment on Wall Street was hit by a downgrade of Italy and Spain by Fitch. US stocks closed lower but European stocks gained, notwithstanding a string of downgrades by Moody’s. The rating agency has warned of a possible downgrade of Belgium.
French President Sarkozy and German Chancellor Merkel have reportedly agreed to recapitalize Europe's banks without clear details.

Friday, October 7, 2011

Dear SMS Clients,

Those clients registered with DND will not get SMS now onwards, kindly take note of the same. We have stooped taking fresh subscription for SMS.

team, www.northpole77.com 

Book profit in Tata Steel at Rs418 given on 5th October.

"Visit Daily www.NorthPole77.com , Join profit making community...Today!"

Market Commentary

Its déjà vu time for central banks in the developed world, as they ramp up efforts to calm nervous financial markets amid mounting fears of double-dip recession. The Bank of England surprised markets with a fresh round of monetary stimulus despite inflation running high. ECB’s outgoing president Jean Claude Trichet unleashed a couple of liquidity boosting programs to relieve tension in the European credit markets. Eurozone authorities have shown readiness to recapitalise banks.

In the US, President Obama is trying hard to sell his jobs plan, calling it an insurance against another recession. US Senate will vote on the Obama jobs bill and the controversial currency bill next week. But, before that, all eyes will be on Friday’s jobs data.

The opening is likely to be a positive one following a three-day rally on Wall Street and recovery in European stocks. Asian markets are in good shape as well. The banking pack could see some buying for the day. For our markets, the crucial event will be the RBI’s policy meeting on Oct. 25. Pressure is building on the RBI to take a pause. Corporate results will also start pouring in shortly.
Sector Watch: 
Banking, Sugar, Pharma & Realty  

Sector Avoid: 
Banking I.T., Telecom & Oil Refinery Stocks
Markets to open with positive note
&  Recovery is likely during the first session  
However profit booking may seem on higher levels

Corporate Snippets

±  Maruti has fixed production targets at 30-40% higher for October, compared to September when it produced 73,000 cars. (ET)
±  The Department of Telecommunications is known to have cleared a showcause notice to Idea Cellular on cancellation of its telecom licence in Punjab. (BS)
±  Suzlon Energy has bagged an order from GAIL for supply of wind turbines to the state-run gas distribution majors upcoming project in Karnataka. (BS)
±  Mundra Port and Special Economic Zone has emerged as the sole bidder for Chennai port’s Rs36.8bn mega container terminal project. (BS)
±  The telecom department has asked its legal wing to examine the 3G roaming agreements between Bharti Airtel, Vodafone and Idea Cellular. (ET)
±  BHEL has bagged a Rs38bn order from Dainik Bhaskar Power for setting up a 1,320-MW thermal power plant in Madhya Pradesh. (BL)
±  Essar Power has earmarked an investment of US$8bn in the next three years for setting up thermal power projects in the country. (BS)
±  Bahrain-based telecom firm Menatelecom has awarded WiMAX managed services contracts to Tech Mahindra and Huawei Technologies for the year 2012-13. (BS)

Wednesday, October 5, 2011

Buy and Hold

BUY COLPAL around 990 
WITH AT SL OF 975
FOR TRG OF 1030.

Buy and Hold for 7 days

BUY TATASTEEL around 400 
WITH AT SL OF 390 
hold FOR TRG OF 419.90 ++
(DURATION 7 DAYS)

European market update: FTSE index up 2.5%, CAC index up 3%, DAX index 2.5%

"Visit Daily www.NorthPole77.com , Join profit making community...Today!"

Buy Exide (132.35) s/L 130 target 134,136


Sector Watch: 
I.T., OMC & FMCG  

Sector Avoid:
Banking & Oil Refinery Stocks
Nifty & Sensex Levels
Nifty / Sensex
F & O Close Rate
R-1
R-2
S1
S2
Nifty
4779
4810
4840
4750
4720
Sensex
15864
15954
16044
15774
15684
Buy Call
Scrip Name
F & O Close Rate
Target 1
Target 2
Stoploss
Maruti
1100.00
1115
1121
1086
Ranbaxy
513.80
520
524
505
Sell Call
Scrip Name
F & O Close Rate
Target 1
Target 2
Stoploss
Tata Motors
146.30
143
141
148.90
M & M
778.55
769
762
788
STER
105.65
103.50
102
107
Axis Bank
966.70
952
948
978
Jindal Steel
460.20
454
450
466

Market Commentary

Fear seems to be overtaking faith as rating agencies appear to be on a downgrade overdrive. The Moody’s blues started with the ratings agency downgrading the standalone rating for State Bank of India, citing its ‘modest’ capital and weakening asset quality. This triggered a panic sell-off in the stock in particular and the market in general.

The opening is set to be flat at best. Some buying is likely in counters which were mercilessly hammered in recent times. But that does not mean the situation has changed for good. Stick to a very cautious approach for now.

Asian stocks are down following a downgrade of Italy’s credit rating. Markets in Hong Kong and mainland China were closed for holidays. Oil has bounced back after reports of a drop in US stockpiles and hope of an European recovery. Reports indicate that Europe will recapitalize its banks to reduce worries of a debt crisis.

Fed chief Bernanke says the central bank is ready to take more action if necessary to bolster the U.S. economic recovery. Greece’s finance minister says the nation can cover pensions, salaries and bondholders just through the middle of next month.

Corporate Snippets

±       Oil & Natural Gas Corp will fast-track its plans to develop new oil and gas fields, so as to raise its sagging output and increase crude oil output by 15% in two years. (BS)
±       Reliance Infrastructure has commissioned its fourth 400-kV double circuit transmission line of about 150 km between Parali and Solapur in western Maharashtra. (BL)
±       Ashok Leyland reported a 17.23% decline in sales during the month of September at 8,576 units compared to 10,362 units a year ago. (BS)
±       Bharat Sanchar Nigam Ltd has sweetened its Voluntary Retirement Scheme by proposing to help set up an outsourcing cooperative for all employees who take the offer. (BL)
±       Daiichi Sankyo will leverage Ranbaxy's distribution strengths and relationships with pharmacists across Italy, for the distribution of Daiichi Sankyo products. (FE)
±       Nalco signed an agreement for setting up a 0.5 mtpa aluminium smelter and a 1,250-MW coal-based power plant in Indonesia's East Kalimantan province at an investment of US$4.5bn. (BL)
±       Axis Bank has extended its US$200mn US commercial paper programme by a year. (BS)
±       Essar Group is planning to list its infrastructure business in London next year, a move that could raise about Rs37bn. (ET)
±       The finance ministry has decided to go ahead and seek cabinet approval for converting the dedicated infrastructure financier Ashok Leyland and Gulf Oil have joined hands to launch a co-branded range of eight lubricants for the commercial vehicle maker's new range of light vehicles. (BL)
±       India Infrastructure Finance Company Limited into an infrastructure finance company despite opposition from the Planning Commission. (ET)

Tuesday, October 4, 2011

सेन्सेक्स (15867.31) -284.14 अंक गिरकर, नीफ़्टी (4772.15) -77.35 अंक गिरकर, बंद


Buy and Hold ...

Buy Exide [5days]

Cairn (SELL, below Rs270, Target Rs260):

 With formation of ‘Head and shoulder top’ on the daily and close below key support of Rs275 levels, the short term uptrend is coming to a lull. The amplitude of said pattern is projecting target of Rs260.The daily RSI also has been trading below the support of 50 and is on its way heading to 35. The risk reward ratio for initiating short positions from current levels is remains very supportive. We recommend to short Cairn Oct Fut below Rs270 with stop loss of Rs275 for Target of Rs260. (Duration 5 days)
Sector Watch: 
Oil Marketing Co., Cement & J. P. Group 

Stocks  Sector Avoid: 
Bank, Realty, I.T., Oil Refinery, Metal-Steel
Nifty & Sensex Levels
Nifty / Sensex
F & O Close Rate
R-1
R-2
S1
S2
Nifty
4867.60
4897
4927
4837
4807
Sensex
16151
16241
16331
16061
15970

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