Friday, July 22, 2011
Sector Watch: Multi Brand Retail, NBFC Stocks Sector Avoid: OMC, Realty, I.T., Cement, Tyre & Metal
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Nifty & Sensex Levels
Nifty / Sensex
|
F & O Close Rate
|
R-1
|
R-2
|
S1
|
S2
|
NIFTY
|
5544
|
5577
|
5616
|
5529
|
5502
|
Sensex
|
18436
|
18540
|
18650
|
18390
|
18310
|
Daily & Short Term Recommendations
Buy Call
Scrip Name
|
F & O Close Rate
|
Target 1
|
Target 2
|
Stoploss
|
Sun
Pharma
|
505.65
|
514
|
524
|
496
|
Hero
Honda
|
1791.50
|
1805
|
1814
|
1775
|
Yes
Bank
|
318.40
|
323
|
329
|
314
|
SBI
|
2457
|
2477
|
2495
|
2434
|
Sell Call
Scrip Name
|
F & O Close Rate
|
Target 1
|
Target 2
|
Stoploss
|
Kotak
Bank
|
477.30
|
472
|
463
|
483
|
Sail
|
129.40
|
127
|
126
|
130.50
|
CIPLA
|
316.10
|
312
|
307
|
320
|
Result Update: Hero Honda (Q1 FY12) – Market Performer
CMP Rs1,789, Target Rs1,659, Downside 7.3%
± Revenues rise 32% yoy due to 23.9% yoy growth in volumes and 7% higher realizations
± Higher raw material costs owing to higher commodity prices lead to 275bps yoy fall in OPM to 11.3% (below expectations)
± Higher production from Uttaranchal plant results in lower effective tax rate
± Key concerns: R&D capabilities following exit of Honda, sustenance of margins
± Maintian Market Performer rating with a 9-month price target of Rs1,659 (P/E of13x FY13E EPS)
Result Update: Sesa Goa (Q1 FY12) – Market Performer
CMP Rs278, Target Rs302, Upside 8.6%
± Topline of Rs21.1bn was below our estimate of Rs28bn and also declined 12.6% on a yoy basis
± The underperformance in topline was due to both lower than expected iron ore realization and volumes
± Iron ore sales volume of 4.3mn tons was lower than our estimate of 4.7mn tons on account of logistical bottlenecks in Goa
± Net realizations too declined 14.4% qoq to Rs4,502/ton due to higher sales in domestic market
± EBIT/ton on iron sales declined to Rs2,513/ton from Rs3,041/ton in Q4 FY11 and Rs3,009/ton in Q1 FY11
± Pig iron production declined due to unavailability of high grade iron ore in Karnataka
± Volume headwinds coupled with higher export duty and transportation costs to keep stock under pressure; maintain Market Performer
Market Commentary ,,
After a fairly lackluster week, hope are of a good rally today - at least at start. Overseas markets are fired up after European leaders agreed to a new $229bn bailout plan for debt-plagued Greece that includes private sector support. They also empowered their 440-bn euro rescue fund to buy debt of the struggling eurozone nations.
The euro has jumped against the dollar. The yen is down as global investors resume their buying of risk assets. Separately, there are reports that the Obama administration is cutting a deal with House Republicans to boost the US debt ceiling and reduce deficits by ~ $3 trillion over 10 years without any immediate increase in revenues.
Indian markets will also take cues from corporate results. So far, earnings have been mixed with a few nasty surprises. In the coming days, the focus will be on the RBI’s policy action, F&O expiry, monsoon and the parliament session. FIIs, meanwhile seem to have switched to a lower gear.
Thursday, July 21, 2011
Sector Watch: Multi Brand Retail, Media Entertainment & Oil Refineries Stocks Sector Avoid: Aviation, OMC & Metal
Markets
to open in RED & Small recovery
is likely
Overall
outlook may range bound
during the session
Nifty & Sensex Levels
Nifty / Sensex
|
F & O Close Rate
|
R-1
|
R-2
|
S1
|
S2
|
NIFTY
|
5569
|
5609
|
5654
|
5549
|
5534
|
Sensex
|
18502
|
18620
|
18785
|
18440
|
18395
|
Daily & Short Term Recommendations
Buy Call
Scrip Name
|
F & O Close Rate
|
Target 1
|
Target 2
|
Stoploss
|
Reliance
Ind.
|
876.90
|
885
|
892
|
868
|
SBI
|
2476
|
2492
|
2515
|
2457
|
L
& T
|
1800
|
1821
|
1834
|
1785
|
Sell Call
Scrip Name
|
F & O Close Rate
|
Target 1
|
Target 2
|
Stoploss
|
Hero
Honda
|
1763
|
1752
|
1735
|
1784
|
Tata
Motors
|
970
|
958
|
942
|
985
|
Market Commentary
Economists
may not be all that gung-ho about the current state of the Indian
economy, but the Finance Minister thinks the pessimism is overdone.
According to him, all is well with the Indian economy. There is no
policy paralysis and reforms have not been put on the backburner.
But, inflation is unlikely to cool to acceptable levels before March and GDP growth has been scaled down a little.
We
expect the market to be sluggish at start due to indecisive global
cues. US stocks softened amid persistent anxiety over the ongoing debate
over budget talks. But their European counterparts advanced. Asian
indices are clueless.
A move below 5550 on the Nifty could see further selling and the index might head towards 5440.
Meanwhile, reports suggest that the DoT could take a call on fresh allocation of 2G spectrum on Friday.
Separately,
the DoT may also auction airwaves for wireless broadband. The Delhi
High Court would today start hearing on framing of charges in the 2G
scam.
Wednesday, July 20, 2011
Our INTRADAY Sell NIFTY target achieved 5600
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Markets
to open with positive note &
Rally to continue
Overall
undertone will
remain firm & outlook bullish
Keep result oriented stock specific
approach
Nifty could lift up to at least 5650 and Bank Nifty to
11,600. Today, we expect the positive trend to persist. However, profit
booking is not ruled out around 5670 levels.
Nifty & Sensex Levels
Nifty / Sensex
|
F & O Close Rate
|
R-1
|
R-2
|
S1
|
S2
|
NIFTY
|
5619
|
5649
|
5676
|
5589
|
5574
|
Sensex
|
18653
|
18743
|
18824
|
18563
|
18513
|
Daily & Short Term Recommendations
Buy Call
Scrip Name
|
F & O Close Rate
|
Target 1
|
Target 2
|
Stoploss
|
Infosys
|
2729.95
|
2750
|
2782
|
2695
|
Reliance
Industries
|
881
|
892
|
900
|
870
|
Sesa
Goa
|
219.50
|
295
|
297
|
288
|
Tata
Steel
|
578.95
|
585
|
590
|
570
|
SBI
|
2522
|
2550
|
2570
|
2490
|
Reliance
Capital
|
598.45
|
605
|
610.50
|
590
|
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