Friday, July 22, 2011

सेन्सेक्स (18722.30) +286.11 अंक चढ्कर, नीफ़्टी (5633.95) +92.35 अंक चढ्कर, बंद..


Sector Watch: Multi Brand Retail, NBFC Stocks Sector Avoid: OMC, Realty, I.T., Cement, Tyre & Metal

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Nifty & Sensex Levels


Nifty / Sensex
F & O Close Rate
R-1
R-2
S1
S2
NIFTY
5544
5577
5616
5529
5502
Sensex
18436
18540
18650
18390
18310

Daily & Short Term Recommendations


Buy Call
Scrip Name
F & O Close Rate
Target 1
Target 2
Stoploss
Sun Pharma
505.65
514
524
496
Hero Honda
1791.50
1805
1814
1775
Yes Bank
318.40
323
329
314
SBI
2457
2477
2495
2434
Sell Call
Scrip Name
F & O Close Rate
Target 1
Target 2
Stoploss
Kotak Bank
477.30
472
463
483
Sail
129.40
127
126
130.50
CIPLA
316.10
312
307
320

Intraday Call..

NIFTY 
//BUY OR SELL//



CALL TO PAID CLIENTS ONLY

Morning Call --- BOOK PROFIT


PETRONET 
TARGET ACHIEVED
AT 175

Morning CallSMS TO PAID CLIENTS ONLY

Result Update: Hero Honda (Q1 FY12) – Market Performer

CMP Rs1,789, Target Rs1,659, Downside 7.3%

±  Revenues rise 32% yoy due to 23.9% yoy growth in volumes and 7% higher realizations
±  Higher raw material costs owing to higher commodity prices lead to 275bps yoy fall in OPM to 11.3% (below expectations)
±  Higher production from Uttaranchal plant results in lower effective tax rate
±  Key concerns: R&D capabilities following exit of Honda, sustenance of margins
±  Maintian Market Performer rating with a 9-month price target of Rs1,659 (P/E of13x FY13E EPS)

Result Update: Sesa Goa (Q1 FY12) – Market Performer
CMP Rs278, Target Rs302, Upside 8.6%

±  Topline of Rs21.1bn was below our estimate of Rs28bn and also declined 12.6% on a yoy basis
±  The underperformance in topline was due to both lower than expected iron ore realization and volumes
±  Iron ore sales volume of 4.3mn tons was lower than our estimate of 4.7mn tons on account of logistical bottlenecks in Goa
±  Net realizations too declined 14.4% qoq to Rs4,502/ton due to higher sales in domestic market
±  EBIT/ton on iron sales declined to Rs2,513/ton from Rs3,041/ton in Q4 FY11 and Rs3,009/ton in Q1 FY11
±  Pig iron production declined due to unavailability of high grade iron ore in Karnataka
±  Volume headwinds coupled with higher export duty and transportation costs to keep stock under pressure; maintain Market Performer  

Market Commentary ,,


After a fairly lackluster week, hope are of a good rally today - at least at start. Overseas markets are fired up after European leaders agreed to a new $229bn bailout plan for debt-plagued Greece that includes private sector support. They also empowered their 440-bn euro rescue fund to buy debt of the struggling eurozone nations.

The euro has jumped against the dollar. The yen is down as global investors resume their buying of risk assets. Separately, there are reports that the Obama administration is cutting a deal with House Republicans to boost the US debt ceiling and reduce deficits by ~ $3 trillion over 10 years without any immediate increase in revenues.

Indian markets will also take cues from corporate results. So far, earnings have been mixed with a few nasty surprises. In the coming days, the focus will be on the RBI’s policy action, F&O expiry, monsoon and the parliament session. FIIs, meanwhile seem to have switched to a lower gear. 

Thursday, July 21, 2011

सेन्सेक्स (18436.19) -66.19 अंक गिरकर, नीफ़्टी (5541.60) -25.45 अंक गिरकर, बंद.


Sector Watch: Multi Brand Retail, Media Entertainment & Oil Refineries Stocks Sector Avoid: Aviation, OMC & Metal

Markets to open in RED & Small recovery is likely
Overall outlook may range bound during the session

Nifty & Sensex Levels


Nifty / Sensex
F & O Close Rate
R-1
R-2
S1
S2
NIFTY
5569
5609
5654
5549
5534
Sensex
18502
18620
18785
18440
18395

Daily & Short Term Recommendations


Buy Call
Scrip Name
F & O Close Rate
Target 1
Target 2
Stoploss
Reliance Ind.
876.90
885
892
868
SBI
2476
2492
2515
2457
L & T
1800
1821
1834
1785
Sell Call
Scrip Name
F & O Close Rate
Target 1
Target 2
Stoploss
Hero Honda
1763
1752
1735
1784
Tata Motors
970
958
942
985

Market Commentary

Economists may not be all that gung-ho about the current state of the Indian economy, but the Finance Minister thinks the pessimism is overdone. According to him, all is well with the Indian economy. There is no policy paralysis and reforms have not been put on the backburner.

But, inflation is unlikely to cool to acceptable levels before March and GDP growth has been scaled down a little.

We expect the market to be sluggish at start due to indecisive global cues. US stocks softened amid persistent anxiety over the ongoing debate over budget talks. But their European counterparts advanced. Asian indices are clueless. 

A move below 5550 on the Nifty could see further selling and the index might head towards 5440.

Meanwhile, reports suggest that the DoT could take a call on fresh allocation of 2G spectrum on Friday.

Separately, the DoT may also auction airwaves for wireless broadband. The Delhi High Court would today start hearing on framing of charges in the 2G scam.

Wednesday, July 20, 2011

सेन्सेक्स (18502.38) -151.49 अंक गिरकर, नीफ़्टी (5567.05) -46.50 अंक गिरकर, बंद.


Our INTRADAY Sell NIFTY target achieved 5600

Sell NIFTY given at 5635, target 5610 below...


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Markets to open with positive note & Rally to continue
Overall undertone will remain firm & outlook bullish
Keep result oriented stock specific approach


Nifty could lift  up to at least 5650 and Bank Nifty to 11,600. Today, we expect the positive trend to persist. However, profit booking is not ruled out around 5670 levels.

Nifty & Sensex Levels


Nifty / Sensex
F & O Close Rate
R-1
R-2
S1
S2
NIFTY
5619
5649
5676
5589
5574
Sensex
18653
18743
18824
18563
18513

Daily & Short Term Recommendations


Buy Call
Scrip Name
F & O Close Rate
Target 1
Target 2
Stoploss
Infosys
2729.95
2750
2782
2695
Reliance Industries
881
892
900
870
Sesa Goa
219.50
295
297
288
Tata Steel
578.95
585
590
570
SBI
2522
2550
2570
2490
Reliance Capital
598.45
605
610.50
590

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