The Indian stock market has slowed substantially after last  year's stunning rally. The key indices remain stuck in a range even as the NSE  Nifty has made several attempts at breaking free from the rangebound trading  pattern. The European debt crisis has only made that task tougher. In fact,  there are chances of the market falling further if the situation in Europe  doesn't improve fast enough. China's red-hot economy is another cause for worry  even as the US continues to exhibit anemic recovery and the UK is struggling  with high budget deficit
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Back home, inflation represents the biggest challenge - for the  market as well as for the policymakers. All eyes are now on monsoon. Talk of  poor start to the rainy season spooked the sentiment on Friday. Hopefully, the  IMD's prediction will prove wrong again. Our forecast for today is another weak  start following the renewed bloodbath in the US and European markets. Asian  markets are in the red this morning. Don't get fooled by any intra-day relief  rallies, as risk-reward equation is still not favourable for the bulls.