Tuesday, May 18, 2010

Pre Market Commentary ...

The recovery may sure tempt you to believe things are settling down. We managed to bounce back after another rough start as European markets were relatively stable. US stocks too rebounded from session lows to end in the green. Asian markets are mixed this morning with Chinese market in the red yet again. Given the murky global outlook, we expect a subdued start to the proceedings. Sentiment may improve a little, provided there no further tremors on the external front. But, on the whole we expect a volatile yet rangebound session.

Technically, the levels to watch are 4950 on the downside and 5100-5200 on the way up. A close below 4900 could lead to some panic. A decisive breakout may continue to elude us till the Nifty sustains above 5300. For the time being, the broader market may hold more promise as the large caps appear to be fully priced. In terms of events, the latest GDP data will be out on May 31. Monsoon’s progress will also have some bearing on market mood in the near term. We are certainly not out of the woods yet as far as global factors are concerned, and so it would be wise to remain cautious. Fresh buying could be avoided for now.

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