Tuesday, January 25, 2011

Sesa Goa (Q3 FY11) – Market Performer

CMP Rs330, Target price Rs356, Upside 7.9%

±  Topline increased 19.1% yoy to Rs22.5, lower than our estimate of Rs24.2bn
±  The underperformance in topline was due to lower iron ore realization and lower pig iron production
±  Iron ore sales volume of 5.3mn tons was inline with our expectation and net realizations increased 10% qoq to Rs3,883/ton, lower than our estimate of Rs4,066/ton
±  Net cash (excluding inter-corporate loan of Rs10bn) increased from Rs75.8bn by the end of previous quarter to Rs82.3bn
±  Lack of volume growth visibility over the next two years to keep stock under pressure; maintain Market Performer  

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