Wednesday, July 27, 2011

Result Update: Cairn India (Q1 FY12) – Market Performer

CMP Rs323, Target Rs293, Downside 9.3%

±  Net sales witness quantum jump as Mangala field achieves maintains its peak production rate of 125,000 barrels of oil per day (bopd)
±  Realization for Rajasthan crude continues to be at 10-15% discount to Brent much in line with company’s guidance
±  OPM jumps 852bps yoy on account of benefits of operating leverage
±  Company is holding a postal ballot of all the shareholders to consider the conditions imposed by the GoI such as royalty being made cost recoverable and ending the arbitration on cess
±  These steps will erode Rajasthan field NPV by Rs45/share. Maintain Market Performer rating with a revised 9-month target price of Rs293

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