Monday, July 11, 2011

Market Commentary

The buzzword for now seems to be ‘reshuffle’ and it might well be useful for the Centre and your portfolio. Ministers with dual responsibilities may be asked to focus on one while the second-rung of ministers could gain some prominence.

With the much-awaited US jobs report souring the sentiment, the start is likely to be subdued at best. But, healthy dose of FII money and solid earnings could lift the Nifty above the crucial 200-DMA level in the short term. FIIs were actually net buyers of more than Rs 5bn on Friday, when the market tumbled. That could check the slide in Indian stocks this morning, despite weakness across Asian markets.

On the domestic front, monsoon seems to have picked up after a rather protracted lull. All eyes will be on Tuesday’s IIP data and Thursday’s inflation report for June. The initial impact of the fuel price revision will be reflected in June’s headline inflation. Further spike in inflation is not ruled out as higher diesel prices tend to have a ripple effect across the economy.

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