Friday, March 19, 2010

Pre Market Commentary ..

Today,we expect a positive but sedate start and a choppy session. Volume may remain low, as has been the case lately. Select stocks will remain in the spotlight owing to the newsflow. Reports mention chances of a dollar carry trade benefiting the Indian market, similar to the yen carry trade a couple of years ago.The main indices managed to gallop towards the end following S&P’s upgrade of India’s ratings outlook. The key indices might just be able to stretch the winning streak a little bit more today. But remember, all stocks need to participate on the ‘stable’ outlook.

Cues from global markets are neither spectacular nor weak. Concerns over Greece prevail amid lack of cohesion in the EU. The nation now may resort to aid from the IMF. Worries over stringent new norms for Wall Street banks have ebbed even as the war of words persists between the US and China over yuan revaluation.


Wall Street had an indecisive session. The Dow rose for eighth straight day while the S&P ended in red. European stocks were weighed down by uncertainty over Greece. Asian markets are mixed.


Barring a few days, market breadth has been generally negative even on days when the main indices have advanced. This is a cause for concern as in a low-volume, shallow market there is always a chance that the market’s gain may not accurately reflect the reality. So, don’t get carried away if the Nifty breaches 5300 or the Sensex surpasses 18000.


Apply your mind and do your homework before taking a plunge into any stock, as valuations are not cheap. Though the key indices are nearing their previous 52-week highs, bulls don't appear to be entirely convinced. This leaves the market vulnerable to fresh selling.

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