Today, we see the market extending this week's fall due to weakness in US and Asian stocks, and oil prices hitting new record high. Indian ADRs tumbled, losing between 2-6.5%. The dearth of any near-term positive triggers coupled with erratic movement in FII flows and local inflation concerns would also keep the bulls on tenterhooks. The market is likely to consolidate for a while before breaking out on either side.
We maintain that the key indices will remain rangebound within a few hundred points in the near term, as investors take stock of the situation after last month's rally. A major crash may not happen unless we get fresh bout of bad news from overseas or local markets. A stock specific approach is perhaps the most prudent way of tackling the current uncertainties.