Tuesday, November 1, 2011

Market Commentary for 01 Nov 2011

The October heat didn’t have much of an impact on the stock markets, as progress on the grand plan to check the eurozone fiscal mess lifted the pall of gloom.

However, investors could be staring at a nervous start to November on the back of a sharp fall in the US and European indices. Barring china, most Asian markets are also in the red. The initial euphoria over last week's euro-zone deal seems to have faded amid lack of details on how to rein in the debt crisis. Spanish and Italian bonds have tumbled, forcing the ECB to buy their debt.

The yen slid against the US dollar after Japanese authorities intervened in the forex markets again. Gold and silver futures dropped. Crude oil too declined. The latest manufacturing PMI survey shows slower growth in China. German retail sales came in weaker-than-expected while the Spanish economy stalled in Q3 over Q2.

Back home too the bad news continues, with the core sector growth dipping to a 31-month low. Concerns are also mounting over the ballooning fiscal deficit. But results have not been too bad and FII flows have turned positive again. The intermediate up-trend could pick up if the Nifty sustains above 5400. The previous resistance of 5200 will now turn into a strong support.

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