Wednesday, August 17, 2011

Market commentary

The UPA regime seems to running out of ideas. Parliament comes to a standstill. Anna Hazare has refused to leave Tihar jail even though he has been released by the authorities. In short, the UPA vs. Anna battle could be a protracted affair. The demand for a strong anti-graft bill seems to be finding popular backing for now.

As for the market, the rise in political temperature in the capital may not have a major impact on sentiment.  What could affect the mood is lingering worries over the deteriorating external environment, particularly in the US and the eurozone.

The outcome of a meeting between German and French leaders has not gone down too well with the markets. Data showing stagnation in Germany also soured the sentiment in European markets. US stocks pulled back after a three-session rally. Asian markets are mixed.

Back home, inflation slowed in July, but a rate hike is still likely on Sept 16. Nifty is currently trading near the psychological support of 5000 and a closing below it could take it down to 4750-4800 in the near term.

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