Tuesday, August 9, 2011

Market Commentary

If you thought the Monday mayhem was something, wait, there is yet another bloodbath happened at start today. The tremors of the S&P’s bold but debatable US downgrade continue to deeply cut world markets. Predicting when the current tsunami will subside is like catching a falling knife. Avoid needless bravado and wait for the financial storm to pass.

Amid the gloom and doom scenario, there are some bright spots for emerging nations like India. For instance, crude has taken a big pounding and so have other commodities (except gold of course). This is likely to have a sobering effect on inflation. Also, the RBI may just refrain from rubbing salt in the markets’ wounds by maintaining status quo on rates. The Centre may announce a few big-bang policy moves as well, hopefully.

When the dust settles on the global turmoil, India is likely to come out relatively stronger and attract offshore capital. Still, there will be lots of volatility and uncertainty in the short-term. Remain vigilant and cautious. You will come across plenty of opportunities in the coming days. It doesn’t matter if you have to pay some premium for stocks later; that’s better than wiping out your capital now.

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